BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 34 Conference: (12-2) Overall: (16-6) Overall Strength = 70.66
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2006 Home L 57.64 42 56 3A 30 (10-12) Webster City -13.13 -0.87 was 11/28 now 12/02
2 12/08/2006 Home W * 86.42 89 42 2A 121 ( 2-20) Belmond-Klemme 15.65 * 31.35
3 12/12/2006 Away W * 68.81 67 60 2A 72 (14- 8) North Iowa -1.96 8.96
4 12/15/2006 Home W * 68.68 97 84 2A 88 (12-11) Mason City Newman -2.09 15.09
5 12/16/2006 Away W 70.99 66 54 2A 76 ( 3-19) Estherville LC 0.22 11.78
6 12/19/2006 Home W * 78.21 67 50 2A 61 (14- 9) Lake Mills 7.44 9.56
7 12/21/2006 Home L 49.95 58 76 4A 44 ( 4-17) Mason City -20.82 2.82
8 01/05/2007 Away W * 59.86 60 51 1A 81 ( 3-19) Britt West Hancock -10.91 19.91
9 01/06/2007 Away W 86.88 67 58 3A 21 (14- 9) Clear Lake 16.11 -7.11
10 01/09/2007 Away W 86.08 67 43 3A 53 ( 8-15) Cresco Crestwood 15.31 8.69
11 01/12/2007 Home L * 65.89 55 63 2A 16 (22- 4) Garner-Hayfield -4.87 -3.13
12 01/13/2007 Home L 58.77 60 67 3A 40 (14- 8) Charles City -12.00 5.00
13 01/19/2007 Away W * 57.27 71 57 2A 121 ( 2-20) Belmond-Klemme -13.50 * 27.50
14 01/20/2007 Home W 78.91 69 56 3A 38 ( 8-14) Algona 8.14 4.86
15 01/23/2007 Away W * 88.54 65 36 2A 86 (11-11) Osage 17.77 11.23
16 01/26/2007 Home W * 73.96 82 66 2A 72 (14- 8) North Iowa 3.19 12.81
17 02/02/2007 Away W * 81.06 62 46 2A 61 (14- 9) Lake Mills 10.29 5.71
18 02/06/2007 Home W * 73.00 73 47 1A 81 ( 3-19) Britt West Hancock 2.24 23.76
19 02/09/2007 Away L * 65.75 53 65 2A 16 (22- 4) Garner-Hayfield -5.02 -6.98
20 02/13/2007 Away W * 65.53 85 79 2A 88 (12-11) Mason City Newman -5.24 11.24
21 02/16/2007 Home W * 66.68 75 64 2A 86 (11-11) Osage -4.09 15.09
22 02/26/2007 Home L 68.03 50 56 3A 21 (14- 9) Clear Lake -2.74 -3.26
Averages 70.77 67.3 58.0
Best game: 88.54 = 29 point win over Osage
Worst game: 49.95 = 18 point loss to Mason City
Team stdev: 10.82